Accuracy & drift backtest
Our numbers measured against Birdeye, GeckoTerminal & DexScreener — published, not asserted.
We don't ask you to take "reconciled" on faith: we compared our numbers against Birdeye, GeckoTerminal and DexScreener and publish the drift as plain percentages — including the one number where we read lower, and why.
Methodology
Snapshot generated 2026-06-03 against one live mint — $COLLAT (C7heQqfNzdMbUFQwcHkL9FvdwsFsDRBnfwZDDyWYCLTZ), dominant Raydium pool resolved via DexScreener (DeAWLtRGAqCW7imV1jSC9NZkRKKGStFC1U7eDFBRxryR):
- OHLCV close drift — 1h candles aligned by unix hour; drift =
|ourClose − refClose| / refCloseover the overlapping hours. Candles loaded: ours 423 · Birdeye 500 · GeckoTerminal 300. - Point-in-time — spot price, holders, liquidity and market cap / FDV compared at the same moment.
- Volume — our 24h USD volume vs the vendors' USD figures only (Birdeye's OHLCV
vis base-token volume and is excluded by design).
OHLCV close drift (1h candles)
| Reference | Hours overlapped | Median | p90 | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Birdeye | 287 | 0.44% | 1.09% | 3.81% |
| vs GeckoTerminal | 175 | 0.35% | 1.11% | 3.81% |
Point-in-time comparisons
| Metric | Ours | Reference | Drift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spot price vs Birdeye | $0.001022 | $0.001011 | +1.07% |
| Spot price vs DexScreener | $0.001022 | $0.001012 | +0.96% |
| Holders vs Birdeye | 12,430 | 12,432 | −0.02% |
| Liquidity vs Birdeye | $235,526 | $235,403 | +0.05% |
| Liquidity vs DexScreener | $235,526 | $235,560 | −0.01% |
| Market cap / FDV vs DexScreener | $1,021,605 | $1,012,738 | +0.88% |
For scale: the reference vendors disagree with each other — Birdeye vs DexScreener liquidity differs by −0.07% on the same pool at the same moment — so a few hundredths of a percent is the noise floor, not signal.
Where we read lower: 24h volume
| Source | 24h volume (USD) | Drift vs ours |
|---|---|---|
Ours (/metrics, window=24) | $15,998 | — |
| Birdeye (v24hUSD) | $17,814 | −10.19% |
| DexScreener (volume.h24) | $17,820 | −10.22% |
Expected and honest, not a defect: we attribute volume from the pools we index while aggregators sum every venue; swaps we can't price to USD contribute $0 by design instead of a best-effort guess; and the candle tail can briefly lag the head between catch-ups.
Caveats
- One mint. The backtest covers a single live token (
$COLLAT) and its dominant pool — not a fleet-wide average. - Bounded windows. Birdeye overlap: 2026-05-14T02Z → 2026-06-03T19Z. GeckoTerminal overlap: 2026-05-21T00Z → 2026-06-03T02Z.
- A snapshot, not a live feed. Generated 2026-06-03; it is not (yet) regenerated continuously.
Don't trust the snapshot either — verify any mint yourself: the per-candle confirmed flag (Intervals & candles) plus the per-mint coverage receipt tell you exactly which bars are settled, live.